3 . " utility " concept is introduced into the engineering area . to unify the economic and non - economic factors in engineering structures risk analysis the max expected utility value ( euv ) method is presented 3 、引進了“效益”的概念,提出了在工程結構風險分析中應用最大期望效益準則( euv )的方法,使經濟價值因素和非經濟價值因素得到統一。
This paper combined the study of predecessor and use pert predicted method and technology of monte - carlo simulation to get the probability distribution of project ' s random npv , and to use the theory of expected utility to get expected utility value for decision - making to make decision of project 本文結合前人的研究,利用pert預測法和蒙特卡洛模擬法,建立了項目的隨機凈現值模型。通過分析凈現值的概率分布,利用期望效用理論得出決策者的期望效用值,對項目作出決策。